Statistical Advance: Analyzing The GEICO 400

 

DAYTONA BEACH, Fla. (September 10, 2012) – Below is a look at some of the top statistical performers at Chicagoland Speedway in Joliet, Illinois going into the GEICO 400 on Sept. 16.

CHICAGO-SPECIFIC STATISTICS

1 – Denny Hamlin (No. 11 FedEx Ground Toyota)

  • Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 101.8

2012 Rundown

  • Four wins, 11 top fives, 13 top 10s; two poles
  • Average finish of 12.6
  • Led 18 races for 899 laps

Chicagoland Speedway Outlook:

  • One top five, two top 10s
  • Average finish of 19.2 in six races
  • Average Running Position of 18.7, 18th-best
  • Driver Rating of 81.8, 15th-best
  • 164 Quality Passes (passes of cars in the top 15 under green), 12th-most

2 – Jimmie Johnson (No. 48 Lowe’s / Kobalt Tools Chevrolet)

  • Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 108.0

2012 Rundown

  • Three wins, 12 top fives, 17 top 10s; one pole
  • Average finish of 11.3
  • Led 17 races for 1,033 laps

Chicagoland Speedway Outlook:

  • Five top fives, eight top 10s; one pole
  • Average finish of 10.0 in 10 races
  • Average Running Position of 8.0, second-best
  • Series-best Driver Rating of 112.2
  • Series-high 237 Fastest Laps Run
  • Series-best Average Green Flag Speed of 169.022 mph
  • 1,589 Laps in the Top 15 (84.9%), second-most
  • 205 Quality Passes, fifth-most

3 – Tony Stewart (No. 14 Office Depot/Mobil 1 Chevrolet)

  • Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 87.9

2012 Rundown

  • Three wins, 10 top fives, 12 top 10s; one pole
  • Average finish of 13.4
  • Led 11 races for 378 laps

Chicagoland Speedway Outlook:

  • Three wins, eight top fives, nine top 10s; one pole
  • Average finish of 8.7 in 11 races
  • Series-best Average Running Position of 7.7
  • Driver Rating of 111.0, second-best
  • Series-high 1,638 Laps in the Top 15 (87.5%)

4 – Brad Keselowski (No. 2 Miller Lite Dodge)

  • Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 95.9

2012 Rundown

  • Three wins, 10 top fives, 15 top 10s
  • Average finish of 11.5
  • Led 14 races for 409 laps

Chicagoland Speedway Outlook:

  • One top five, one top 10
  • Average finish of 18.3 in three races
  • Driver Rating of 75.8, 19th-best

5 – Greg Biffle (No. 16 Scotch Blue Ford)

  • Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 102.7

2012 Rundown

  • Two wins, 10 top fives, 15 top 10s; two poles
  • Average finish of 9.7
  • Led 14 races for 634 laps

Chicagoland Speedway Outlook:

  • One top five, one top 10
  • Average finish of 18.8 in nine races
  • Driver Rating of 88.5, 12th-best
  • Series-high 469 Green Flag Passes

6 – Clint Bowyer (No. 15 5-hour Energy Toyota)

  • Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 92.6

2012 Rundown

  • Two wins, six top fives, 15 top 10s
  • Average finish of 11.5
  • Led 7 races for 185 laps

Chicagoland Speedway Outlook:

  • One top five, five top 10s
  • Average finish of 10.2 in six races
  • Average Running Position of 12.9, eighth-best
  • Driver Rating of 90.7, ninth-best

7 – Dale Earnhardt Jr. (No. 88 AMP Energy/7-Eleven/National Guard Chevrolet)

  • Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 99.5

2012 Rundown

  • One win, 10 top fives, 17 top 10s; one pole
  • Average finish of 9.9
  • Led 12 races for 340 laps

Chicagoland Speedway Outlook:

  • One win, three top fives, four top 10s
  • Average finish of 14.8 in 11 races
  • Average Running Position of 13.5, 10th-best
  • Driver Rating of 89.2, 11th-best
  • 423 Green Flag Passes, second-most
  • 220 Quality Passes, fourth-most

8 – Matt Kenseth (No. 17 Best Buy Ford)

  • Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 102.4

2012 Rundown

  • One win, 10 top fives, 16 top 10s; one pole
  • Average finish of 10.3
  • Led 16 races for 362 laps

Chicagoland Speedway Outlook:

  • Two top fives, four top 10s; one pole
  • Average finish of 12.3 in 11 races
  • Average Running Position of 10.5, fourth-best
  • Driver Rating of 104.1, third-best
  • 177 Fastest Laps Run, second-most
  • Average Green Flag Speed of 168.787 mph, third-fastest
  • 1,318 Laps in the Top 15 (70.4%), fifth-most
  • 180 Quality Passes, 10th-most

9 – Kevin Harvick (No. 29 Budweiser Chevrolet)

  • Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 92.2

2012 Rundown

  • Four top fives, 11 top 10s
  • Average finish of 12.0
  • Led 7 races for 229 laps

Chicagoland Speedway Outlook:

  • Two wins, six top fives, seven top 10s
  • Average finish of 10.4 in 11 races
  • Average Running Position of 11.2, fifth-best
  • Driver Rating of 98.5, fifth-best
  • 45 Fastest Laps Run, 12th-most
  • Average Green Flag Speed of 168.538 mph, fourth-fastest
  • 1,361 Laps in the Top 15 (72.7%), fourth-most
  • 188 Quality Passes, ninth-most

10 – Martin Truex Jr. (No. 56 NAPA Auto Parts Toyota)

  • Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 98.3

2012 Rundown

  • Six top fives, 14 top 10s; one pole
  • Average finish of 11.3
  • Led 11 races for 423 laps

Chicagoland Speedway Outlook:

  • One top 10
  • Average finish of 18.2 in six races
  • Average Running Position of 13.2, ninth-best
  • Driver Rating of 86.7, 14th-best
  • 74 Fastest Laps Run, seventh-most
  • 409 Green Flag Passes, third-most
  • Average Green Flag Speed of 168.229 mph, seventh-fastest
  • 1,110 Laps in the Top 15 (69.2%), 10th-most
  • 202 Quality Passes, sixth-most

11 – Kasey Kahne (No. 5 Farmers Insurance Chevrolet)

  • Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 93.0

2012 Rundown

  • Two wins, seven top fives, 13 top 10s; two poles
  • Average finish of 14.3
  • Led 7 races for 252 laps

Chicagoland Speedway Outlook:

  • One top five, two top 10s
  • Average finish of 21.0 in eight races
  • Average Running Position of 20.2, 23rd-best
  • Driver Rating of 75.3, 20th-best

12 – Jeff Gordon (No. 24 DuPont Chevrolet)

  • Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 95.8

2012 Rundown

  • One win, seven top fives, 12 top 10s; one pole
  • Average finish of 14.9
  • Led 16 races for 443 laps

Chicagoland Speedway Outlook:

  • One win, six top fives, seven top 10s; one pole
  • Average finish of 10.0 in 11 races
  • Average Running Position of 11.5, sixth-best
  • Driver Rating of 95.4, seventh-best
  • 87 Fastest Laps Run, fifth-most
  • 398 Green Flag Passes, sixth-most
  • Average Green Flag Speed of 168.206 mph, eighth-fastest
  • 1,380 Laps in the Top 15 (73.7%), third-most
  • Series-high 234 Quality Passes

 

The Top 12

 

Following Race 26 of 36

 

Driver  Points Wins Poles Rank Last Week Season Drive Rating
1. Denny Hamlin         2,012       4           2              7           101.8 2012 4 2 7 101.8
2. Jimmie Johnson    2,009       3           1               4           108.0 2009 3 1 4 108.0
3. Tony Stewart           2,009       3           1             10             87.9 2009 3 1 10 87.9
4. Brad Keselowski     2,009       3           0               6             95.9 2009 3 0 6 95.9
5. Greg Biffle               2,006       2           2               1           102.7 2006 2 2 1 102.7
6. Clint Bowyer           2,006       2           0               8             92.6 2006 2 0 8 92.6
7. Dale Earnhardt Jr.  2,003       1           1               2             99.5 2003 1 1 2 99.5
8. Matt Kenseth           2,003       1           1              3           102.4 2003 1 1 3 102.4
9. Kevin Harvick         2,000       0           0              9             92.2 2000 0 0 9 92.2
10. Martin Truex Jr.      2,000       0           1               5             98.3 2000 0 1 5 98.3
11. Kasey Kahne           2,000       0           2             11             93.0 2000 0 2 11 93.0
12. Jeff Gordon            2,000       0           1             13             95.8 2000 0 1 13 95.8

ADDITIONAL DRIVERS

13. Kyle Busch                     774         36. Brian Vickers             177
14. Carl Edwards                  747         37. J.J. Yeley                  138
15. Marcos Ambrose             735         38. Michael McDowell      126
16. Ryan Newman                734         39. Ken Schrader             111
17. Paul Menard                   731         40. Josh Wise                 109
18. Joey Logano                   678         41. Stephen Leicht             97
19. Jeff Burton                     647         42. Scott Speed                76
20. Jamie McMurray             640         43. Michael Waltrip            75
21. Juan Pablo Montoya        608         44. Tony Raines               67
22. Aric Almirola                   587         45. Terry Labonte             66
23. Regan Smith                   566         46. Brendan Gaughan        50
24. Bobby Labonte                557         47. Scott Riggs                 50
25. Kurt Busch                     499         48. Boris Said                   34
26. Mark Martin                    492         49. Bill Elliott                     14
27. Casey Mears                  462         50. Hermie Sadler III          13
28. David Gilliland                 451         51. Robby Gordon             11
29. David Ragan                   437         52. Mike Skinner               10
30. Travis Kvapil                   434         53. Tomy Drissi                  6
31. Landon Cassill                421         54. Stacy Compton             5
32. AJ Allmendinger              400         55. David Mayhew              4
33. Dave Blaney                   338         56. Kelly Bires                    2
34. David Reutimann             316         57. Patrick Long                  2
35. David Stremme               184        

Note: The first 26 races of the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series season determine which 12 drivers qualify for the Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup, contested over the final 10 races of the season. After race No. 26, the top 10 earn a berth in the Chase. Spots 11 and 12 – the Wild Cards – will go to those drivers outside the top 10 with the most wins, provided they are in the top 20.

 

The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series 2012 Top 12 at Chicagoland Speedway

 

Driver

Races

Poles

Wins

Top Fives

Top 10s

DNFs

Average Finish

Driver Rating

 
 

1

Denny Hamlin

6

0

0

1

2

0

19.2

81.8

 

2

Jimmie Johnson

10

1

0

5

8

1

10.0

112.2

 

3

Tony Stewart

11

1

3

8

9

1

8.7

111.0

 

4

Brad Keselowski

3

0

0

1

1

0

18.3

75.8

 

5

Greg Biffle

9

0

0

1

1

1

18.8

88.5

 

6

Clint Bowyer

6

0

0

1

5

0

10.2

90.7

 

7

Dale Earnhardt Jr.

11

0

1

3

4

1

14.8

89.2

 

8

Matt Kenseth

11

1

0

2

4

0

12.3

104.1

 

9

Kevin Harvick

11

0

2

6

7

0

10.4

98.5

 

10

Martin Truex Jr.

6

0

0

0

1

1

18.2

86.7

 

11

Kasey Kahne

8

0

0

1

2

2

21.0

75.3

 

12

Jeff Gordon

11

1

1

6

7

1

10.0

95.4

 

* – Based on last seven races at Chicagoland Speedway.

 

Additional Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup Contenders Loop Data for Chicagoland Speedway

 

Driver

Avg.  Running Position

# of Quality Passes

Laps in Top 15

% of Laps in Top 15

Laps Led

% of Laps Led

Total Laps Completed

1

Denny Hamlin

18.7

164

903

56.3

0

0

1598

2

Jimmie Johnson

8.0

205

1589

84.9

307

16.4

1826

3

Tony Stewart

7.7

222

1638

87.5

156

8.3

1871

4

Brad Keselowski

17.7

53

264

33

4

0.5

798

5

Greg Biffle

15.8

153

995

53.2

77

4.1

1826

6

Clint Bowyer

12.9

171

1018

63.4

2

0.1

1605

7

Dale Earnhardt Jr.

13.5

220

1195

63.8

40

2.1

1871

8

Matt Kenseth

10.5

180

1318

70.4

342

18.3

1870

9

Kevin Harvick

11.2

188

1361

72.7

94

5

1856

10

Martin Truex Jr.

13.2

202

1110

69.2

28

1.7

1549

11

Kasey Kahne

20.2

127

802

42.8

2

0.1

1738

12

Jeff Gordon

11.5

234

1380

73.7

73

3.9

1852


At Chicagoland Speedway:

History

  • Construction of the Chicagoland Speedway began in August 1999.
  • The first NASCAR Nationwide Series race at Chicago was July 14, 2001.
  • The first NASCAR Sprint Cup Series race was held on July 15, 2001.
  • This weekend marks the second year Chicagoland Speedway has been included in the 10-race Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup – Sept. 18, 2011.

Notebook

  • There have been 11 NASCAR Sprint Cup races at Chicagoland Speedway.
  • 11 drivers have competed in all 10 races.
  • Todd Bodine won the first pole.
  • There has been a different pole winner after every qualifying session (qualifying was canceled in 2008), 10 total.
  • Kevin Harvick won the first two races.
  • Eight different drivers have won races, led by Tony Stewart with three.
  • Kyle Busch won the 2008 race from the pole, the first time a driver won from the pole. It was also the only time a driver had won from a top-five starting position.
  • Kevin Harvick won the 2002 race from the 32nd starting position, the deepest in the field that a race winner ever started at Chicago.
  • Only one starting position has multiple wins: 14th. Mark Martin won from the 14th starting position in 2009, as did Ryan Newman in 2003.
  • Tony Stewart (8.7), Jeff Gordon (10.0) and Jimmie Johnson (10.0) are active drivers who average a top-10 finish at Chicago.
  • Six of the last seven races have ended with a margin of victory under one second. The closest margin of victory at Chicago was 0.159 sec. (7-12-08).
  • Joe Gibbs leads all car owners in wins at Chicago with three, followed by Richard Childress and Rick Hendrick with two each.
  • Chevrolet leads the series with the most wins by a manufacturer at Chicago with eight.
  • Youngest NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Chicagoland Speedway winner: Kyle Busch (07/12/2008 – 23 years, 2 months, 10 days).
  • Oldest NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Chicagoland Speedway winner: Mark Martin (07/11/2009 – 50 years, 6 months, 2 days).

Chicagoland Speedway Data

  • Chase Race #: 1 of 10
  • Season Race #: 27 of 36 (09-16-12)
  • Track Size: 1.5-miles
  • Banking/Turns: 18 degrees
  • Banking/Tri-Oval: 11 degrees
  • Banking/Backstretch: 5 degrees
  • Frontstretch Length:  2,400 feet
  • Backstretch Length:  1,700 feet
  • Race Length: 267 laps / 400 miles

 

Top 12 Driver Rating at Chicago

  1. Jimmie Johnson…………………… 112.2
  2. Tony Stewart……………………….. 111.0
  3. Matt Kenseth……………………….. 104.1
  4. Kevin Harvick………………………… 98.5
  5. Kyle Busch…………………………… 97.8
  6. Jeff Gordon………………………….. 95.4
  7. Carl Edwards………………………… 92.8
  8. Clint Bowyer…………………………. 90.7
  9. Mark Martin…………………………… 89.5
  10. Dale Earnhardt Jr…………………… 89.2
  11. Greg Biffle……………………………. 88.5
  12. Kurt Busch……………………………. 87.8

Note: Driver Rating compiled from 2005-2012 races (7 total) at Chicagoland Speedway.

 

Qualifying/Race Data

2011 pole winner:

  • Matt Kenseth, Ford (183.243 mph, 29.469 sec., 09-17-11)

2011 race winner:

  • Tony Stewart, Chevrolet (143.306 mph, 2:47:41, 09-19-11)

Track qualifying record:

  • Jimmie Johnson, Chevrolet (188.147 mph, 28.701 sec., 07-08-05)

 Track race record:

  • David Reutimann, Toyota (145.138 mph, 2:45:34, 07-10-10)

NASCAR in Illinois

  • There have been 13 NASCAR Sprint Cup races in Illinois.
  • Track Name

    City

    NSCS

    Years

    Chicagoland Speedway

    Joliet

    11

    2001-2012

    Santa Fe Speedway

    Willow Springs

    1

    1954

    Soldier Field

    Chicago

    1

    1956

  • 74 drivers all-time in NASCAR three national series have their home state recorded as Illinois.
  • There have been five race winners from Illinois in NASCAR’s three national series:
  • Driver

    NSCS

    NNS

    NCWTS

    Fred Lorenzen

    26

    0

    0

    Tom Pistone

    2

    0

    0

    Justin Allgaier

    0

    3

    0

    Bobby Dotter

    0

    1

    0

    Erik Darnell

    0

    0

    2

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