Statistical Advance: Analyzing The Aaron’s 499

 

DAYTONA BEACH, Fla. (April 30, 2012) – Below is a look at some of the top statistical performers at Talladega Superspeedway in Talladega, Ala. going into the Aaron’s 499 on May 6.

 

TALLADEGA-SPECIFIC STATISTICS

Jeff Burton (No. 31 CATERPILLAR Chevrolet)

  • Five top fives, 14 top 10s
  • Average finish of 18.5
  • Average Running Position of 15.8, seventh-best
  • Series-best Driver Rating of 91.3
  • 48 Fastest Laps Run, 13th-most
  • Series-high 5,426 Green Flag Passes
  • Average Green Flag Speed of 192.185 mph, third-fastest
  • 1,596 Laps in the Top 15 (60.0%), third-most
  • Series-high 3,834 Quality Passes (passes of cars in the top 15 under green)

Kurt Busch (No. 51 Phoenix Construction Services Inc. Chevrolet)

  • Six top fives, 13 top 10s
  • Average finish of 14.9
  • Average Running Position of 15.3, fourth-best
  • Driver Rating of 86.2, seventh-best
  • 4,792 Green Flag Passes, second-most
  • Series-high 1,621 Laps in the Top 15 (60.9%)
  • 3,440 Quality Passes, second-most

Dale Earnhardt Jr. (No. 88 National Guard/Diet Mountain Dew Chevrolet)

  • Five wins, nine top fives, 12 top 10s
  • Average finish of 15.0
  • Average Running Position of 14.9, second-best
  • Driver Rating of 90.2, second-best
  • 62 Fastest Laps Run, fourth-most
  • 4,555 Green Flag Passes, fourth-most
  • Average Green Flag Speed of 192.159 mph, fifth-fastest
  • 1,618 Laps in the Top 15 (60.8%), second-most
  • 3,152 Quality Passes, fourth-most

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jeff Gordon (No. 24 DuPont Chevrolet)

  • Six wins, 14 top fives, 18 top 10s; two poles
  • Average finish of 16.3
  • Driver Rating of 82.6, 10th-best
  • 1,238 Laps in the Top 15 (46.5%), 10th-most

 

 

 

Denny Hamlin (No. 11 FedEx Express Toyota)

  • Three top fives, five top 10s
  • Average finish of 17.8
  • Average Running Position of 15.8, fifth-best
  • Driver Rating of 88.7, third-best
  • 54 Fastest Laps Run, 10th-most
  • 4,004 Green Flag Passes, 13th-most
  • 1,206 Laps in the Top 15 (53.0%), 13th-most
  • 2,567 Quality Passes, sixth-most

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jimmie Johnson (No. 48 Lowe’s Chevrolet)

  • Two wins, five top fives, nine top 10s; one pole
  • Average finish of 16.9
  • Average Running Position of 17.6, 13th-best
  • Driver Rating of 81.9, 11th-best
  • 1,290 Laps in the Top 15 (48.5%), eighth-most
  • 2,626 Quality Passes, fifth-most

 

 

 

 

 

Matt Kenseth (No. 17 Best Buy Ford)

  • Three top fives, six top 10s
  • Average finish of 19.3
  • Average Running Position of 16.2, eighth-best
  • Driver Rating of 83.7, ninth-best
  • 4,380 Green Flag Passes, seventh-most
  • 1,558 Laps in the Top 15 (58.5%), fourth-most
  • 3,345 Quality Passes, third-most

 

 

 

 

 

 

Brad Keselowski (No. 2 Miller Lite Dodge)

  • One win, two top fives, four top 10s
  • Average finish of 15.0
  • Driver Rating of 80.6, 13th-best
  • Average Green Flag Speed of 191.935 mph, 13th-fastest

 

 

 

Joey Logano (No. 20 Dollar General Toyota)

  • Two top fives, four top 10s
  • Average finish of 14.5
  • Series-best Average Running Position of 14.3
  • Driver Rating of 88.6, fourth-best
  • Average Green Flag Speed of 192.222 mph, second-fastest

 

 

 

 

Juan Pablo Montoya (No. 42 Target/Kraft Chevrolet)

  • Three top fives, three top 10s; two poles
  • Average finish of 17.1
  • Average Running Position of 15.0, third-best
  • Driver Rating of 81.8, 12th-best
  • Average Green Flag Speed of 192.057 mph, eighth-fastest

 

 

 

 

David Ragan (No. 34 Front Row Motorsports Ford)

  • Two top fives, three top 10s
  • Average finish of 18.1
  • Average Running Position of 16.8, 11th-best
  • Driver Rating of 87.1, sixth-best
  • Average Green Flag Speed of 192.135 mph, seventh-fastest

 

 

 

 

Tony Stewart (No. 14 Office Depot/Mobil 1 Chevrolet)

  • One win, nine top fives, 13 top 10s
  • Average finish of 15.2
  • Average Running Position of 16.7, ninth-best
  • Driver Rating of 84.3, eighth-best
  • 58 Fastest Laps Run, fifth-most
  • 4,298 Green Flag Passes, eighth-most
  • Average Green Flag Speed of 191.987 mph, 11th-fastest
  • 1,293 Laps in the Top 15 (48.6%), seventh-most
  • 2,256 Quality Passes, 13th-most

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Chase Contenders

The Top 12

Following Race 9 of 36

Driver Points    Wins Poles Rank  last week Season Drive Rating
1. Greg Biffle  338 1 1 1 103.9
2. Dale Earnhardt Jr.  333 0 0 4 101.8
3. Denny Hamlin  329 2 1 6 104.6
4. Matt Kenseth 328 1 0

3

101.9
5. Martin Truex Jr. 316 0 1 2 102.2
6. Jimmie Johnson  314 0 0 7 104.2
7. Kevin Harvick 313 0 0 6 100.5
8. Tony Stewart  307 2 0 8 98.8
9. Carl Edwards 287 0 1 9 85.7
10. Ryan Newman 278 1 0 10 83.8
11. Kyle Busch 265 1 0 13 92.4
12. Clint Bowyer  264 0 0 11 86.6

 

 ADDITIONAL DRIVERS

13. Brad Keselowski              252         32. Dave Blaney              126
14. Paul Menard                   249         33. Landon Cassill           125
15. Joey Logano                   241         34. Travis Kvapil              119
16. Juan Pablo Montoya        239         35. David Stremme            76
17. Jeff Gordon                    221         36. J.J. Yeley                   73
18. Jamie McMurray             220         37. Brian Vickers               66
19. Mark Martin                    218         38. Michael McDowell        56
20. Jeff Burton                     214         39. Brendan Gaughan         50
21. AJ Allmendinger              213         40. Ken Schrader               47
22. Marcos Ambrose             209         41. Josh Wise                   37
23. Kasey Kahne                  205         42. Tony Raines                35
24. Aric Almirola                   205         43. Terry Labonte             27
25. Regan Smith                   204         44. Hermie Sadler             13
26. Kurt Busch                     190         45. Scott Riggs                13
27. Bobby Labonte                188         46. Stephen Leicht              9
28. Casey Mears                  160         47. Robby Gordon               6
29. David Ragan                   135         48. Scott Speed                  2
30. David Gilliland                 134
31. David Reutimann             132

Note: The first 26 races of the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series season determine which 12 drivers qualify for the Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup, contested over the final 10 races of the season.


 

The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Final 2012 Top 12 at Talladega Superspeedway

 

Driver

Races

Poles

Wins

Top Fives

Top 10s

DNFs

Average Finish

Driver Rating

 
 

1

Greg Biffle

18

0

0

1

3

5

20.6

69.6

 

2

Dale Earnhardt Jr.

24

0

5

9

12

5

15.0

90.2

 

3

Denny Hamlin

12

0

0

3

5

2

17.8

88.7

 

4

Matt Kenseth

24

0

0

3

6

4

19.3

83.7

 

5

Martin Truex Jr.

14

0

0

1

4

8

23.2

76.6

 

6

Jimmie Johnson

20

1

2

5

9

7

16.9

81.9

 

7

Kevin Harvick

22

1

1

6

10

0

15.1

78.0

 

8

Tony Stewart

26

0

1

9

13

5

15.2

84.3

 

9

Carl Edwards

15

0

0

1

4

4

20.3

67.1

 

10

Ryan Newman

20

0

0

4

7

6

21.7

74.0

 

11

Kyle Busch

14

0

1

1

2

5

24.9

78.6

 

12

Clint Bowyer

12

0

2

4

6

2

16.4

79.2

 

* – Based on last 14 Talladega Superspeedway races.


At Talladega Superspeedway:

History

  • Construction began on what was then known as the Alabama International Motor Speedway on May 23, 1968.
  • The first NASCAR Sprint Cup race was held on Sept. 14, 1969.
  • The name changed to Talladega Superspeedway in 1989.
  • Fourth repaving completed on Sept. 19, 2006.

 

 

 

 

Notebook

  • There have been 85 NASCAR Sprint Cup races at Talladega Superspeedway since the track opened in 1969; two a year every year except the inaugural season, which had just one.
  • Richard Brickhouse won the first NASCAR Sprint Cup race.
  • Bobby Isaac won the first NASCAR Sprint Cup pole in September 1969. Isaac won the first three poles there.
  • 35 different drivers have won poles. Bill Elliott leads all drivers with eight poles.
  • 41 different drivers have posted victories, led by Dale Earnhardt Sr. (10). Twenty drivers have won more than once.
  • Jeff Gordon leads all other active drivers in victories, with six. Dale Earnhardt Jr. is second among active drivers in victories with five.
  • Richard Childress Racing has won more than any other organization at Talladega with 12 wins.
  • 33 of 85 races have been won from a top-two starting positions, including 13 from the pole; 23 have been won from a starting position outside the top 10. The most recent driver to win from the pole was Jeff Gordon in 2007 (spring).
  • The furthest back in the field a race winner started was 36th, by Jeff Gordon in 2000.
  • Mark Martin’s pace in the 1997 spring race set an all-time NASCAR Sprint Cup record for the fastest race ever. He won the caution-free race with an average speed of 188.354 mph and covered the 500-mile distance in two hours, 39 minutes and 18 seconds.
  • The 2010 spring race set the all-time and track records for lead changes (88) and lap leaders (29). Last season’s spring race tied the 2010 record for most lead changes with 88 (amongst 26 lap leaders). The previous highs were 75 lead changes (set on May 6, 1984) and 28 lap leaders (set on Oct. 5, 2008). Both previous records also were set at Talladega.
  • Dale Earnhardt Jr. had four consecutive victories (October 2001 through April 2003), the most ever by a driver there. Buddy Baker (three – May 1975 through May 1976) is the only other driver to win more than two consecutive races there.
  • Since the inception of electronic scoring in 1993, every race that has ended under green has had a margin of victory under half a second.
  • The 2011 spring race tied the 03/16/2003 Darlington race won by Ricky Craven for the all-time record of the closest series finish (0.002 seconds) since the inception of electronic scoring.
  • Youngest NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Talladega Superspeedway winner: Bobby Hillin Jr. (07/27/1986 – 22 years, 1 month, 22 days).
  • Oldest NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Talladega Superspeedway winner: Harry Gant (05/06/1991 – 51 years, 3 months, 26 days)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Talladega Superspeedway Data

Race #: 10 of 36 (05-06-12)

Track Size: 2.66 miles

Race Length: 500 miles

  • Banking/corners: 33 degrees
  • Banking/Frontstretch: 16.5 degrees
  • Banking/Backstretch: 2 degrees
  • Frontstretch: 4,300 feet
  • Backstretch: 4,000 feet


Top 12 Driver Rating at Talladega

  • Jeff Burton ………………………….. 91.3
  • Dale Earnhardt Jr ………………….. 90.2
  • Denny Hamlin………………………. 88.7
  • Joey Logano ……………………….. 88.6
  • Brian Vickers ……………………….. 87.3
  • David Ragan………………………… 87.1
  • Kurt Busch …………………………… 86.2
  • Tony Stewart ………………………… 84.3
  • Matt Kenseth ……………………….. 83.7
  • Jeff Gordon …………………………. 82.6
  • Jimmie Johnson ……………………. 81.9
  • Juan Pablo Montoya ……………… 81.8

Note: Driver Rating compiled from 2005-2011 races (14 total) at Talladega.

 

Qualifying/Race Data

  • 2011 pole winner: Jeff Gordon (178.248 mph, 53.723 seconds)
  • 2011 race winner: Jimmie Johnson, (156.261 mph, 04-17-11)
  • Track qualifying record: Bill Elliott (212.809 mph, 44.998 seconds, 04-30-87)
  • Track race record: Mark Martin (188.354 mph, 05-10-97)

 

Driver Ratings for Winners

Driver

Year

Driver Rating

Series Driver Rating Rank

Jimmie Johnson

2011 Spring

82.5

11th

Kevin Harvick

2010 Spring

74.7

20th

Brad Keselowski

2009 Spring

Debut at track

None

Kyle Busch

2008 Spring

95.0

2nd

Jeff Gordon

2007 Spring

97.1

3rd

Jimmie Johnson

2006 Spring

73.4

17th

* Pre-Race Driver Ratings of the year the driver won at Talladega (last six spring races).

NASCAR in Alabama

There have been 104 NASCAR Sprint Cup races in Alabama.

Track Name

City

NSCS

Talladega Superspeedway

Talladega

85

Birmingham International Raceway

Birmingham

8

Chisholm Speedway

Montgomery

1

Dixie Speedway

Birmingham

1

Huntsville Speedway

Huntsville

1

Lakeview Speedway

Mobile

2

Montgomery Motor Speedway

Montgomery

6

66 drivers in NASCAR’s three national series (all-time) have their home state recorded as Alabama.

There have been seven race winners from Alabama in NASCAR’s three national series:

Driver

NSCS

NNS

NCWTS

Bobby Allison

84

2

0

Davey Allison

19

0

0

Neil Bonnett

18

1

0

Donnie Allison

10

0

0

Red Byron

2

0

0

Steve Grissom

0

11

0

Rick Crawford

0

0

5

 

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